George Duke wrote on Wed, Mar 31, 2004 05:25 PM UTC:
Predictions for the length of games (#M) is not the main goal for looking
at CVs analytically. Yet results from Courier completed games
interesting:
-predicted ave.#M- -Game Courier-
Jacks&Witches 37 11-03-04 23 = 24 Moves,
(anticipating checkmate)
07-10-03 14 = 16 Moves
28-10-03 26 = 36 Moves,
checkmate maybe 10 moves ahead
Rococo 60 15-12-03 44 Moves
16-01-04 55 = 60 Moves,
(checkmate five moves ahead)
23-12-03 53 = about 58 Moves played out
The trend is apparent that, with Z Board size more or less constant,
Exchange Gradient especially has high predictive value for length (#M).